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A heat pump can supply 100% of a building's demand for space heating, water heating & space cooling without any combustion of fossil fuels.

Here are some basic issues to understand:

(before considering any supply option, follow the Rule of 3C as much as possible)

Heat pumps produce their thermal heat from the air or from the ground / water. Both units consume conventional electricity to operate a compressor, pumps & motors, and the efficiency of a system is the ratio of energy consumed vs energy produced, rated as EER (energy efficiency ratio) or COP (coefficient of performance).

An Air Source Heat Pump (ASHP) funnels outside air through a coil where a compressor extracts the thermal energy for distribution inside the building envelope. In summer, the process is reversed to absorb the warmth from inside air for discharge outside, thereby providing space cooling. The efficiency of an ASHP declines with outdoor temperature and the exterior machine can be quite noisy, but the cost to install is lower than other options and is very suitable for renovations.

A Ground Source Heat Pump (GSHP) buries pipe in the ground (horizontal loop or vertical borehole) to circulate a fluid that is warmed by the earth before it returns to a compressor that circulates the heat into the building. In summer, the direction is reversed to take warm air out of the building for ejection into the ground. A Water Source Heat Pump uses the same process but relies on water as the heat source or heat sink. A GSHP is more expensive to install because of the cost for digging loops or boreholes (although lower in new construction before the landscaping is finished) but it will perform more efficiently in any ambient temperature and it makes no noise.

Government schematics show how ASHP & GSHP produce thermal energy for buildings.

Data from NRCan's Office of Energy Efficiency estimate that the thermal applications of space heating, water heating & space cooling in 15.3 million households across Canada consumed 327 billion kWh of secondary energy in 2022, and emitted 34 billion kg of carbon from their combustion of fossil fuels. For the average household, this means thermal applications consumed 21,307 kWh (13 kWh per ft²) each year, and emitted 3,148 kg of carbon (2 kg per ft²) as a result.

ASHP or GSHP will produce that 21,307 as dispatchable (no battery required) renewable energy. Depending on their EER / COP, a system will require from 7,000 to 11,000 kWh per year. If the grid electricity is generated from non-combustion sources, the dwelling would reduce annual carbon emissions by 3,148 kg.

Heat pump technology offers many benefits to the building owner, the economy & the environment, but the industry needs to quantify its production of thermal output in kWh so consumers have a clear comparison of supply options.

It would allow the introduction of a PTC (Production Thermal Credit) to incent on-going operational efficiency and to avoid reliance on price-skewing installation grants.

It would also allow a home to verify that it produces 21,307 kWh of renewable energy, compared to its annual consumption of 11,000 kWh (worst case scenario), in order to be classified as NetZeroPLUS.